On Supply-Side Inflation and Some Unconventional Indicators for Measuring Inflation

Some remarks on Oscillating Inflation

Nowadays inflation is a widely accepted element of the early cosmology [1]. It gives the possibility of solving many of the shortcomings of the standard hot big bang model and provides the source for the early energy density fluctuations responsible of the large scale structure of the universe observed today. Although there are many models of inflation, the underlying physical ideas are well es...

Measuring Underlying Inflation

The primary goal of monetary policy in most countries is low infl ation. And a major consideration for the monetary policy decision is the forecast for infl ation over the next couple of years. One important input into these forecasts is a judgment on the current level of infl ationary pressures. But, unfortunately, the data for headline infl ation released each quarter (in Australia) or each m...

Measuring Real Value and Inflation

The most important economic measures are monetary. They have many different names, are derived in different theories and employ different formulas; yet, they all attempt to do basically the same thing: to separate a change in nominal value into a ‘real part’ due to the changes in quantities and an inflation due to the changes in prices. Examples are: real national product and its components, th...

Leading Indicators of Inflation for Brazil

The goal of this project is to construct leading indicators that anticipate inflation cycle turning points on a real time monitoring basis. As a first step, turning points of the IPCA inflation are determined using a periodic stochastic Markov switching model. These turning points are the event timing that the leading indicators should anticipate. A dynamic factor model is then used to extract ...

The Relation Between Inflation and Inflation Uncertainty In Iran